johnrlott
Longtime readers of this column know we like knowledge, from Rasmussen surveys to the annual FBI Uniform Crime Report. The gun prohibition foyer could argue with a homely outdated information hack, however they’re far much less more likely to reject numbers from the feds or a well-established polling firm.
Because of this when John Lott — the economist and creator who based the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart some years again — writes an Op-Ed someplace, I soar proper on it. Lott has written just a few books about weapons, crime and media bias together with the ground-breaking Extra Weapons, Much less Crime and makes anti-gunners loopy. They’ve gotten used to reflexively declaring something he says as “debunked” — typically, it appears, earlier than they’ve had time to really learn it.
When Lott lately took a have a look at crime knowledge and gun gross sales over the previous couple of years, it made for some fascinating studying. . . .
Right here’s one thing Lott lately revealed within the Washington Instances: “We discovered that of the 47 nations in Europe at the moment, 46 of them presently require government-issued photograph IDs to vote.” This appears fairly cheap. If somebody goes to vote, they should vote beneath their very own title, and solely as soon as. What’s flawed with that?
Lott additionally found 35 of the 47 European nations “fully ban absentee voting for residents.” Ten extra nations, together with England, Eire, Denmark, Portugal and Spain, let folks vote absentee, he famous, however “they require voters to point out up in individual and current a photograph ID to choose up their ballots.”
What about prosecutions for making an attempt to purchase a gun once you’re a prohibited individual? Lott has the rating on that too. “For the reason that Brady background checks started in 1994, there have been 3.8 million preliminary denials,” Lott wrote. Nevertheless, it’s one factor to cease a felon from shopping for a gun. It’s fairly one other to cease a law-abiding citizen from shopping for a gun simply because their title is just like a felon’s. In 2017, for instance, there have been 112,000 preliminary denials for supposedly tried prohibited purchases, however just 12 federal prosecutions for prohibited people trying to buy guns by June 2018.”
Many, if not most, of the preliminary denials had been false flags, he stated in a 2018 piece printed by the New York Instances. In that Op-Ed, Lott noticed, “The background examine system confuses the names of law-abiding people with these of criminals, leading to 1000’s of ‘false positives’ yearly. Counting on phonetically comparable names together with beginning dates simply doesn’t enable for a lot accuracy.” . . .
Writing at Townhall final month, Lott stated this: “Gun gross sales elevated dramatically in 2020 earlier than receding some in 2021. Background checks on gun gross sales soared from 12.4 million in 2019 to twenty.3 million in 2020 and declining again to 17.6 million in 2021.”
A couple of traces later, Lott reported, “However what the media ignores is that the variety of violent gun crimes dropped dramatically in 2020. Final October, the US Division of Justice released a research exhibiting victims reported 212,470 gun crimes to police in 2020, a drop of 27% from the 290,790 in 2019. The share of violent crimes dedicated with weapons additionally fell – by over 30%.” . . .
Dave Workman, “DATA DRIVES ‘EM CRAZY: INSIGHTS FROM JOHN LOTT,” Guns Magazine, 2022.
South Dakota likes to pack warmth. Greater than 11% of the state’s grownup inhabitants has a hid carry allow, in accordance with knowledge from the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart.
Given the change in hid carry legal guidelines within the state in 2019 in addition to the state seeing a dramatic rise within the variety of stolen weapons, some folks won’t know their rights. . . .
Stringer is the previous police chief in Satsuma. He misplaced his job as a captain with the Cellular County sheriff’s division due to his variations with Sheriff Sam Cochran on the allow concern. Cochran persuaded the Mobile County Commission to approve an announcement saying they opposed the laws to repeal the allow requirement.
Stringer co-wrote an opinion column submitted to AL.com about why the repeal can be good coverage. It stated predictions that crime would enhance haven’t been correct in different states which have handed “constitutional carry.”
The column, co-written with John Lott, president of the Crime Prevention Research Center, stated:
“Probably the most vital change from constitutional carry is how shortly folks can carry a gun if wanted. Proper now, it takes a few month for Alabama to concern a hid handgun allow after somebody has met the necessities. If a girl is being stalked or threatened, the hurt from that risk could have already occurred properly earlier than a month is up.”
Mike Cason, “Sheriffs, police, urge lawmakers to keep permit requirement for concealed carry of handguns,” Al.com, February 1, 2022. Different papers all through the state such because the Dothan Eagle.
Now John R. Lott Jr., the president of the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart and previously an adviser for the U.S. Division of Justice’s Workplace of Authorized Coverage, claims it’s worse than that.
In a column at Real Clear Politics, he defined not solely federal officers “may have the title of everybody who legally obtained a gun,” however Joe Biden now “needs to make common background checks nationwide so he can have an much more full registration record.”
“In response to a Rasmussen Studies survey, Democrats assist the concept by a 2-1 ratio, whereas Republicans oppose it by the same margin,” wrote Lott. “Two-thirds of Republicans imagine the coverage will result in gun confiscation, and even 40% of Democrats imagine the identical. Confiscating legally owned firearms, it appears, isn’t merely a right-wing conspiracy idea,” he warned.
“Equally, a current Gallup ballot reveals that 40% of Democrats need a full ban on civilian possession of handguns. Nations corresponding to Canada, the U.Ok., and Australia aren’t the one ones to make use of registration to ban and confiscate weapons. California, Chicago, and Washington, D.C. have additionally used registration to know who legally owned various kinds of weapons earlier than banning them.”
The Biden administration, via the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives, has reportedly illegally compiled information of practically one billion firearms gross sales in a searchable, digital database.
Some Second Modification supporters declare that this might be a backdoor registry that, ultimately, could result in an outright gun ban and even confiscation.
Alongside these traces, a gaggle of GOP lawmakers have launched an investigation into the transaction trove that might be utilized by the federal government to focus on authorized gun homeowners.
Gun rights advocate John Lott, the president of the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart and former Justice Division advisor, claims in a Real Clear Politics commentary, headlined “Democrats Pushing Gun Registry as Precursor to Gun Ban,” that the ATF has swept up about 54 million of such information final yr alone. . . .
. . . John Lott, Jr., Ph.D. has accomplished the heavy lifting in compiling voting legal guidelines in different nations. Here’s what his analysis has discovered.
Of the 47 nations in Europe, a staggering 46 require government-issued photograph IDs for in-person voting. The one exception is the UK, the place a photograph ID is required for nationwide elections in Northern Eire however not for Scotland, Wales, and England. Each Canada and Mexico require a government-issued photograph ID. Mexico goes a step farther by making its ID biometric with each photograph and fingerprints.
European, Canadian, and Mexican absentee poll legal guidelines are way more restrictive than ours. None mechanically sends absentee ballots to all registered voters.
Of the 27 nations within the European Union, solely 5 give absentee ballots to any certified voter who requests one. In 18 of the nations (67%), absentee ballots are solely supplied to residents residing overseas. A photograph ID is required to acquire an absentee poll in 11 of the nations (47%). A whopping 25 of the 27 (93%) both don’t allow folks residing within the nation to vote absentee or require a photograph ID to get an absentee poll.
Within the 16 European nations that aren’t members of the E.U., absentee poll guidelines are equally powerful if not harder. Solely two present absentee ballots to any certified voter who requests one. Fourteen of the 16 nations (88%) present absentee ballots solely to residents residing overseas. In 5 of the nations, a photograph ID is required to acquire an absentee poll. All (100%) of the nations both don’t enable absentee voting for folks residing within the nation or require a photograph ID to get an absentee poll.
In Canada, any eligible voter can request an absentee poll, however a government-issued image ID is important to acquire it. In Mexico, absentee ballots are solely supplied to residents residing overseas, and a photograph ID should be proven to get it. . . .
1. Download Dr. Lott’s full experiences and research them.
2. Everytime you see an area TV information or native newspaper report parroting the Democrat line that demanding an image ID to vote is racist, e mail copies of Dr. Lott’s report and ask the query: “If Mexico, Canada, and 46 of 47 nations in Europe demand a photograph ID to vote, why is it racist to demand a photograph ID to vote within the U.S.?” . . .
From testimony earlier than the Ohio state Home on Constitutional Carry.
If that’s not present sufficient, extra present analysis from the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart supplied substantial supporting analysis. Information was compiled from 13 states that had no less than three years of information for the reason that enactment of Constitutional Carry. These states are as follows: Alaska – 03, Arizona – 10, Arkansas – 18, Idaho – 16, Kansas – 15, Kentucky – 19, Maine – 15, Mississippi – 15, Missouri – 17, New Hampshire – 17. North Dakota – 17, West Virginia – 16, Wyoming – 11.
The analysis findings had been vital and related to this invoice. I’d ask members of this committee to recall what number of instances you’ve gotten been advised that permitting Ohioans to train their constitutional rights would lead to blood within the streets? This newest analysis put the deceive that outdated noticed exhibiting a major drop within the homicide price, and a small however insignificant drop in violent crime. . . .
Clement is clearly right. Crime knowledge stubbornly reveals that People who legally carry hid principally don’t commit crimes; for instance, John Lott, a famous criminologist and founder and president of the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart, discovered that, as a gaggle, concealed-carry allow holders are a few of the most law-abiding folks in the US. A lot so, that the speed at which they commit crimes is someplace between one-sixth and one-tenth of what law enforcement officials commit. To see this knowledge from a distinct angle, notice that between 2007 and 2015, the homicide price dropped 16% as the proportion of adults with concealed-carry permits rose 190%. Certainly, till the mayhem of 2020 erupted as politicians on the Left refused to make use of sources to pro- tect folks and property, violent-crime charges had principally been dropping for many years whereas the variety of folks who carry hid rose dramatically.
Frank Miniter, “Two-Faced,” America’s 1st Freedom, January 22, 2022.
Analysis by Dr. John Lott of the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart has compiled several government reports which reveal the overwhelming failure of NICS false-positive denials.
In 2009, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) denied 71,010 people on the gun retailer, however solely 6.6% (4,681 people) had been referred for additional investigation by ATF area places of work. A Division of Justice report said:
“The remaining denials (66,329, or about 93%) didn’t meet referral tips or had been overturned after evaluate by Brady Operations or after the FBI obtained extra data.”
Of these ATF area workplace investigations, 51% (2,390 people) had been of delayed denial instances, not preliminary denials. 572 of those had been admitted to “not [be] a prohibited individual.” This leaves 4,154 respectable FBI denials in 2009, leading to a false-positive denial price of roughly 94.2%. Inform your Senator concerning the outrageous false-positive denial price of the NICS background examine system at the moment!
Analysis by Dr. John Lott of the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart has compiled several government reports which reveal the overwhelming failure of NICS false-positive denials.
In 2009, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) denied 71,010 people on the gun retailer, however solely 6.6% (4,681 people) had been referred for additional investigation by ATF area places of work. A Division of Justice report said:
“The remaining denials (66,329, or about 93%) didn’t meet referral tips or had been overturned after evaluate by Brady Operations or after the FBI obtained extra data.”
Of these ATF area workplace investigations, 51% (2,390 people) had been of delayed denial instances, not preliminary denials. 572 of those had been admitted to “not [be] a prohibited individual.” This leaves 4,154 respectable FBI denials in 2009, leading to a false-positive denial price of roughly 94.2%. Inform your Senator concerning the outrageous false-positive denial price of the NICS background examine system at the moment!
That is solely with the info launched and assumes there have been no ongoing record-keeping errors nonetheless current in authorities databases on the time of the report’s compilation. Data from 2010 is extraordinarily comparable.
Whereas the sheriffs had been on the statehouse steps stumping for the invoice’s defeat, the first sponsor of Constitutional Carry within the state Home took to the pages of the state’s largest information web site to supply one other perspective. Rep. Shane Stringer, a former Cellular County sheriffs captain who was fired from his job after introducing a permitless carry invoice final yr, was joined by Dr. John Lott of the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart in explaining why Constitutional Carry can be a very good factor for the state.
Every time a state considers a constitutional carry invoice, opponents supply dire warnings about rising charges of murder and violent crime.
Nevertheless, in accordance with new research from the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart (CPRC), permitting permit-less carry hasn’t led to growing charges of violent crime. If something, these charges have gone down in states that eliminated the requirement to acquire a allow earlier than carrying a handgun.
Professor Carl Moody, CPRC’s analysis director, aggregated crime knowledge from 13 states which have handed constitutional carry and will present knowledge since 2018. He in contrast the charges of homicide, violent crime, police officer killings, and firearm homicides from the 4 years earlier than a state launched constitutional carry to the six years after.
He reported no statistically vital change in violent crime, police killings, and firearm murder, and a drop within the homicide price. . . .
Analysis by Dr. John Lott of the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart has compiled several government reports which reveal the overwhelming failure of NICS false-positive denials.
In 2009, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) denied 71,010 people on the gun retailer, however solely 6.6% (4,681 people) had been referred for additional investigation by ATF area places of work. A Division of Justice report said:
“The remaining denials (66,329, or about 93%) didn’t meet referral tips or had been overturned after evaluate by Brady Operations or after the FBI obtained extra data.”
Of these ATF area workplace investigations, 51% (2,390 people) had been of delayed denial instances, not preliminary denials. 572 of those had been admitted to “not [be] a prohibited individual.”
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